BEST PICTURE -- "The Aviator"
DIRECTOR -- Martin Scorsese,
I can't tell which one is the underdog now, but I'll go with the Aviator because it's a big sprawling movie and Scosese is still Oscarless. Million Dollar Baby will probably win.
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE -- Jamie Foxx
I think this race is between Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Aviator" and Jamie Foxx, "Ray". Leo's playing a crazy person, which might give him the advantage but Jamie Foxx seems like a foregone conclusion.
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE -- Hilary Swank
I'd like Kate Winslet to win because "Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind" should win something major, but Hilary Swank probably gets the"Million Dollar Baby" vote. (esp. if The Aviator takes the top two awards).
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE -- Morgan Freeman
I'd like Clive Owen to win for "Closer" but this doesn't seem like a film that has a place in the hearts of the academy; so it will probably go to either Jamie Foxx for the first half of "Collateral" (if he doesn't get the Leading Role award) or to Morgan Freeman, "Million Dollar Baby" (esp. if the Aviator win clause is in effect).
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE -- Cate Blanchett
no idea really. they should all get a fifth of a statue. Natalie Portman won the Golden Globe, but this could be the only major award for Sideways, which might give Virginia Madsen an edge.
I can't think of anyone but Charlie Kaufman, Michel Gondry and Pierre Bismuth getting this for "Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind."
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY -- "Sideways"
I'm hoping it's Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke and Kim Krizan, "Before Sunset" , but Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor will win for , Sideways because it needs to win something.
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM -- "The Sea Inside" (Spain)
the academy loves right to death!
ANIMATED FEATURE -- The Incredibles
because it would be criminal for "The Incredibles" to lose.
ORIGINAL SCORE -- Harry Potter
becuase "Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban" should win something
ORIGINAL SONG -- this category should be eliminated
ART DIRECTION -- because I'd like it to win something, Aline Bonetto, "A Very Long Engagement"; but there's probably a strong case to be made for Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo, "The Aviator"
CINEMATOGRAPHY -- Bruno Delbonnel, "A Very Long Engagement"
No idea really. This seems like a very strong category. As above, I'd pick Bruno Delbonnel, "A Very Long Engagement" because it was beautiful and ugly in all the right ways. I also found some of the period film looks in the Aviator gimmicky, but people might go for that, too.
COSTUME DESIGN -- who cares? Sandy Powell for The Aviator
MAKEUP -- Jo Allen and Manuel García, "The Sea Inside"
Because Passion and Lemony Snicket deserve to be shutout>?
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE -- "Born Into Brothels"
the real story is that Tupac: Resurrection was nominated. I assume that "Super Size Me" is a Micheal Moore stand-in, right?
SOUND MIXING -- Tom Fleischman and Petur Hliddal, "The Aviator"
because the Aviator is this year's LoTR? maybe Spider Man 2 because action movies win sound awards?
Kevin O’Connell, Greg P. Russell, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Joseph Geisinger, "Spider-Man 2"
SOUND EDITING -- Paul N.J. Ottosson, "Spider-Man 2"
splitting the difference, because SpiderMan will probably win one of these sound awards
VISUAL EFFECTS -- Harry Potter
FILM EDITING -- "The Aviator"
SHORT FILM – ANIMATED -- Ryan
because it is from Canada and was available on the web
SHORT FILM – LIVE ACTION -- Little Terrorist
Creepy German kids drowning each other and timing themselves? How can it lose?
DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT -- Sister Rose's Passion